The way we remember the past is the way we project into the future.
Short term (near) memories are clear and makes us feel overconfident. A short term (near) future seems clear and makes us feel overconfident. A recipe for inclination to biased thinking.
Long term (distant) memories are blurry and makes us feel unsure. A long term (distant) future seems blurry and makes us feel unsure. A recipe for inclination to probabilistic thinking.
To prepare for a near or distant future that has only one constant – VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity), it is wise to think long term.
– Osasu Oviawe